In recent years, global warming has posed a severe challenge to the coffee-growing industry, and Arabica coffee faces the risk of reduced yields due to its demanding growing requirements. At the same time, Robusta, with its stronger climate adaptability and resistance to pests and diseases, is gradually transforming from a "commercial bean" into a "fine coffee." Major producing countries such as Vietnam, Brazil, and Indonesia continue to expand Robusta production, while emerging origins such as Nicaragua have also begun to experiment with cultivation. Front Street Coffee is paying attention to this trend and invites you to learn how Robusta is playing an increasingly important role in the global coffee landscape. [more…]

Assam is the world's largest tea-producing region, contributing one-fifth of global output and half of India's tea, and supporting about 1.2 million workers. Yet disruptions to rainfall and temperature patterns are putting this land under growing pressure—droughts in Africa, intense rainfall erosion in India, and the accelerating melting of Himalayan glaciers are all sounding alarms at the macro level. But what truly affects each tea leaf is often a more micro-level climate variable. A study based on 82 tea gardens spanning 2004 to 2013 reveals how short-term weather fluctuations directly influence yields. This article will walk you through these findings and what adaptive measures tea gardens can take. Front Street Coffee has always paid attention to the long-term impact of climate change in producing regions on the flavor in the cup. [more…]

Costa Rica has long ranked among the world's leading coffee producers and exporters, thanks to its volcanic soil, mild climate, and abundant rainfall. In recent years, however, persistent high temperatures and drought have been eroding its growing environment. In the Desamparados canton, a key production area in the Central Valley, some estates have seen yields fall by as much as 15%, and production for the 2024/25 harvest season is expected to drop 18% from the previous season. With water shortages during the flowering period, greater susceptibility to disease, aging trees, and labor shortages piling up, export volumes and foreign exchange earnings are coming under pressure. Faced with these challenges, the government has launched a low-carbon coffee program, while research institutions are promoting drought-resistant varieties and adaptive farming methods in an effort to cushion the impact of climate change. [more…]

Panama's National Adaptation Plan (NAP) project recently released a report that, using global models and nearly 30 years of meteorological data, simulated the country's climate trajectory for 2050 to 2070. The results show that reduced rainfall and rising temperatures will directly impact Panama's agricultural production, especially the cultivation and trade of export crops such as coffee and bananas. At the same time, shipping through the Panama Canal and hydroelectric power generation will also face greater pressure due to drought. This article will walk you through the report's core findings and their potential impact on the coffee industry. [more…]

Global temperatures have breached the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels for the first time, and this shift is profoundly shaking the foundations of the coffee industry. Arabica beans account for about 60% of global production but are extremely sensitive to climate conditions. The droughts, hail, and diseases brought by continued warming have already caused two consecutive years of supply falling short of demand. Some experts warn that if the warming trend continues and reaches 2.5°C by the end of this century, most coffee-growing regions may disappear. In the face of the crisis, Starbucks, Colombian research institutions, and a growing number of producing countries are seeking a way forward by cultivating new varieties and reassessing the value of Robusta. Front Street Coffee will also continue to monitor the far-reaching impact of climate change on coffee flavor and the supply chain. [more…]

Today, when Arabica and Robusta absolutely dominate global coffee supply, a species once forgotten for its poor flavor—Liberica (Coffea liberica)—is re-entering researchers' view. From 2021 to 2022, climate change-induced droughts tightened coffee inventories and sent prices soaring, with Arabica prices doubling in a short period. Facing the crisis of shrinking arable ranges, academia proposed three paths: relocating production areas, adjusting cultivation methods, and developing new crops. In December 2022, Nature Plants pointed out that Liberica might regain attention in an era of supply chain disruptions. One of its natural varieties, Excelsa, combines disease resistance, drought tolerance, low-temperature tolerance, and a flavor close to Arabica, and is being widely planted by coffee farmers in places such as Uganda. Front Street Coffee takes you through the full picture of this potential variety. [more…]

In recent years, Indonesia's coffee industry has faced severe challenges under the dual pressures of climate change and farm pests and diseases. The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service predicts that Indonesia's coffee exports will decline by 32% year-on-year in 2023/24. Previously, excessive rainfall disrupted coffee fruit development, leading to a sharp reduction in yield; now, high temperatures and drought are accelerating the spread of pests and diseases, restricting tree growth and further causing coffee supply shortages. Faced with this situation, the Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research Institute (ICCRI) continues to seek solutions through agricultural research, including the introduction of the disease-resistant and high-yielding Komasti Arabica variety. In 2022, ICCRI partnered with the World Coffee Research Institute to establish a demonstration plot in West Java to showcase the variety's performance to local farmers. Front Street Coffee is paying attention to this important development in Indonesia's coffee industry, and this article will review the research and development background, current promotion status, and future potential of the Komasti variety. [more…]

Global food and beverage giant Nestlé announced on October 4, 2022, the launch of the "Nescafé Plan 2030," committing to invest over 1 billion Swiss francs in the Nescafé Plan by 2030 to secure coffee supply and deepen sustainability efforts. This investment more than doubles the amount from the past decade, with a core focus on helping coffee farmers transition to regenerative agriculture while planting over 20 million trees on and around farms to absorb carbon emissions. Nestlé had previously pledged that all its coffee would be sustainably sourced by 2025, and now it has set a further goal: for 20% of its coffee to be grown using regenerative agriculture methods by 2025. Given the threats climate change poses to coffee-growing regions, rising global coffee demand, and the poverty of farmers, whether this plan can bring about substantive change across the entire coffee industry chain is worth watching. [more…]

In the face of the ongoing impact of rising global temperatures and frequent extreme weather on coffee cultivation, Starbucks has announced that it will invest in a new farm in each of Costa Rica and Guatemala to strengthen the climate resilience of its coffee supply chain. In recent years, frost and drought in Brazil have caused Arabica bean prices to soar, and coffee consumer prices have risen 18% within five years. As a buyer of about 3% of the world's coffee beans, Starbucks is using its own farms to research high-yield, disease-resistant hybrid varieties adapted to different altitudes and soils. The new farms will also introduce drones and mechanized technology to address labor shortages in Latin America, and the company plans to continue expanding its agricultural footprint in Africa and Asia in the future. [more…]

Climate change, the spread of pests and diseases, deforestation, and continuously rising temperatures are posing severe challenges to global coffee production capacity. Some studies predict that by 2050, both the suitable cultivation areas and suitability levels of the world's top five coffee-producing countries will decline. To address this situation, many countries have established dedicated coffee research institutions, and multinational companies such as Starbucks and Nestlé have also set up their own R&D teams, committed to breeding new varieties with higher yields, better quality, stronger disease resistance, and adaptability to different environments. However, when variety research and development results led by private capital enter the market, the boundary issues of intellectual property and patent protection come to the surface. There are already precedents for plant patents, and Monsanto's genetically modified seed rights protection case is even more sobering. If coffee varieties are patented, what fate will small farmers and growers face? Front Street Coffee will continue to follow this issue. [more…]

Recently, the five-year Philippine Coffee Advancement and Farm Enterprise (PhilCAFE) project, funded by the United States Department of Agriculture and implemented through a partnership between ACDI/VOCA and World Coffee Research (WCR), has officially concluded. Launched in 2019, the project aimed to improve coffee production and quality, empower farmers, and support the skills development of national researchers and producers. The project legally introduced new Arabica varieties to the Philippines for the first time, established 18 on-farm technical trials and 2 coffee variety trial sites, paving the way for innovation in the Philippine coffee industry. Front Street Coffee notes that this initiative is expected to help the Philippines cope with climate change-induced yield declines and provide farmers with more high-yielding, climate-resilient, and pest- and disease-resistant variety options. [more…]

As the world's fourth-largest coffee producer, Indonesia is facing severe climate challenges. From the relentless downpours brought by La Niña to the severe droughts triggered by El Niño, extreme weather has alternately battered coffee-growing regions, causing poor development of coffee flowers, withered leaves, and worsening pests and diseases. Industry insiders predict that Indonesia's total coffee production this season will plummet to less than 10 million bags, the lowest level in more than a decade. Smallholder farmers in low-altitude growing regions are bearing the brunt, with some even facing the prospect of a total crop failure. At the same time, soaring rice prices have prompted the government to encourage farmers to switch to rice cultivation, while the slow renewal of coffee trees further constrains any recovery in production capacity. Climate change could also lead to a sharp reduction in Indonesia's land suitable for coffee cultivation. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow subsequent developments in this growing region. [more…]

The Best of Yemen 2024 auction closed at $526.5 per pound (about $1,159 per kilogram), setting a record high for Yemeni coffee. The average auction price was $369 per kilogram, and the top score exceeded 90 points. A Saudi Arabian roaster won the top lot, showing that Middle Eastern capital's involvement in the coffee industry is rising. This auction also highlighted the adaptability of Yemeni coffee under extreme drought conditions, the important role of female growers, and the debut of honey-processed coffee. [more…]

The global coffee market is facing an unprecedented price storm. Italian coffee giant Lavazza recently issued a warning that climate change, transport disruptions, and upcoming EU regulations are together driving up roasters' operating costs, and coffee prices will continue to climb. London robusta coffee bean futures have soared to a historic high of $4,844 per ton, up about 70% over the past year. Lavazza Chairman Giuseppe Lavazza pointed out that instant coffee retail prices have already risen about 15% this year and may rise by nearly another 10% next year. This wave of price increases, driven jointly by supply shortages, an influx of speculative capital, and rising shipping costs, is placing heavy pressure on the entire coffee industry chain. [more…]

The lingering effects of El Niño in 2023 have not yet subsided, and La Niña may make a comeback in the summer of 2024, leaving global coffee-producing regions caught in a double bind of extreme weather. Drought during Brazil's flowering period, water shortages on Vietnam's highlands, coexisting floods and droughts in Africa, and the threat of hurricanes in Central America—the production outlook for major growing regions is shrouded in uncertainty. At the same time, rising demand for Robusta in European and American markets, combined with reduced output in several producing countries, has already triggered sharp fluctuations in international coffee prices. This article will examine how climate is disrupting the coffee supply chain and analyze the key variables shaping price trends in the second half of the year. [more…]

The latest report from the World Meteorological Organization shows that El Niño is weakening, and La Niña may return in the second half of the year. This climate shift will bring markedly different effects to global agriculture: Australia, West Africa, and parts of Asia are expected to receive abundant rainfall, favoring the growth of crops such as wheat, palm oil, cocoa, and coffee; while the Americas may face drought, and Brazil's soybean, coffee, and corn-producing regions will come under pressure from reduced yields. At the same time, international prices for coffee, cocoa, and wheat have already remained high for a sustained period, and if adverse climate factors intensify, agricultural product prices may rise further. In recent years, Brazil has vigorously developed robusta coffee, with production expected to reach 21 million bags in 2024, and it is expected to surpass Vietnam in the 2027/28 season to become the world's largest robusta-producing country. In addition, La Niña may also increase Atlantic hurricane activity, threatening energy infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico and thereby driving up crude oil and shipping costs. [more…]

At the 20th African Fine Coffee Conference held in Addis Ababa, officials from the African Coffee Association (AFCA) issued a clear call to traders: efforts should focus on promoting the export of specialty-processed coffee and gradually reducing the share of traditionally processed coffee in the international market. AFCA pointed out that Africa possesses world-class coffee resources, yet weak marketing and a single processing approach have made it difficult for growers to obtain fair returns. To change this situation, the association recommends that exporting countries strengthen brand building, upgrade processing technology, and pay close attention to external factors such as the EU Deforestation Regulation. Africa's coffee industry stands at a crossroads of transformation, and how to break through amid climate change and market access challenges has become the focus of attention for all parties. [more…]

Global coffee bean prices continue to climb, with New York Arabica futures and London Robusta futures both hitting record highs, and Italy—this stronghold of espresso culture—is facing unprecedented pressure to raise prices. Since 2021, the price of espresso in Italy has risen by about 15%, with multiple factors such as climate change, energy costs, and Red Sea shipping disruptions intertwining, potentially pushing a cup of coffee that once cost 1.2 euros to 2 euros. Consumer associations and industry federations each hold their own views, and small family-run cafes are struggling to survive between profit margins and social pressure. This article will take you through the ins and outs of this coffee price storm and how it affects Italians' daily ritual. [more…]

The latest meteorological forecasts indicate that the El Niño condition is expected to come to an end around April 2024. After a brief neutral phase, La Niña may form between June and August and persist through the second half of the year. Previously, El Niño brought extreme weather such as heavy rain, drought, and high temperatures to coffee-growing regions in Brazil, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and other places, causing reduced production and driving up international coffee prices. As La Niña takes over, southeastern Brazil may face reduced rainfall and the risk of frost, while Indonesia may experience heavy rainfall and even floods, and the coffee berry harvest may be hit again. Front Street Coffee will also continue to monitor the impact of climate change in producing regions on the coffee supply chain. [more…]

After the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) took effect, Costa Rica responded swiftly, launching its first batch of coffee beans compliant with EUDR standards. This batch, totaling 275 bags of 60 kg each, comes from the Tarrazú cooperative, has been successfully sold, and will be shipped to Italy. The initiative, jointly driven by the United Nations Development Programme and the Costa Rican Coffee Institute, is seen as a key step for the country to adapt to climate change and secure its European market. Facing the dual pressures of declining production and competition from neighboring Central American countries, Costa Rica is seeking to boost its industry's competitiveness through green certification. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in global coffee-producing regions, bringing first-hand information to enthusiasts. [more…]